Series Preview: Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

Series Preview: Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros


The Mariners took one other two steps backwards over the weekend after such a promising begin to their week final week. The 12-run outburst on Friday was excellent to see however to comply with that up by scoring two runs complete over the ultimate two video games in Chicago was an enormous let down. It appears like I write this similar bit each week, however the uninspired play throughout your complete American League means Seattle is not actually in an excessive amount of bother regardless of its struggles. The M’s are nonetheless the favourite to win the division and at the moment have the third highest playoff odds within the AL. The final time the Mariners confronted the Astros, the vibes have been in the bathroom following a three-game sweep at the arms of the Rangers. Seattle responded by sweeping Houston in 4 video games. The crew is in want of a few of that schadenfreude this week.

At a Glance

Games

time

Mariners Starter

Astros Starter

Mariners Win%

Astros Win%

Game 1Monday, May 11 | 5:10 p.m.RHP George KirbyRHP Peter Lambert56.4%43.6%
Game 2Tuesday, May 12 | 5:10 p.m.RHP Bryan WooRHP Tatsuya Imai52.9%47.1%
Game 3Wednesday, May 13 | 5:10 p.m.RHP Bryce MillerRHP Lance McCullers Jr.47.6%52.4%
Game 4Thursday, May 14 | 11:10 a.m.RHP Luis CastilloRHP Mike Burrows49.2%50.8%

Team Overview

Overview

Astros

Mariners

edge

Batting (wRC+)113 (2nd in AL)104 (third in AL)Astros
Fielding (FRV)-2 (seventh)-13 (fifteenth)Astros
Starting Pitching (FIP-)107 (thirteenth)97 (seventh)Mariners
Bullpen (FIP-)136 (fifteenth)91 (third)Mariners

Nothing has gone proper for the Astros this 12 months. They’ve been decimated by accidents and have limped alongside at the underside of the AL West standings for practically your complete season. Carlos Correa was the most recent star to succumb to a major harm; He injured his ankle final week and will likely be out for the season. He joins 14 different gamers on the IL, essentially the most of any crew within the majors. While the lineup hasn’t actually been affected by all these absences but, the pitching workers has been one of many worst in baseball. Hunter Brown, Cristian Javier, and Josh Hader are all working via important accidents and 6 different pitchers have been sidelined with minor maladies.

Astros Lineup

participant

place

Bats

PA

Okay%

BB%

ISO

wRC+

Jose Altuve2BR16319.0%10.4%0.13299
Yordan AlvarezD.H.l18014.4%13.3%0.325188
Isaac Paredes3BR14816.2%9.5%0.124111
Christian Walker1BR16718.0%9.0%0.242143
Cam SmithRFR15827.8%10.1%0.13183
Zach Cole (MiLB)L.F.l3727.0%18.9%0.310138
Brice MatthewsC.F.R9533.7%8.4%0.21293
Braden ShewmakeH.Hl2114.3%0.0%0.450218
Christian VazquezcR7418.9%8.1%0.194130

The lone shiny spot for the Astros has been their offense. They’ve scored the second most runs within the AL and it would not appear to be a fluke. Yordan Alvarez has been the most effective hitters in baseball up to now, working a career-high 188 wRC+. Christian Walker has additionally bounced again after a tough first season in Houston final 12 months; he is blasted 9 dwelling runs this 12 months and is sporting a 143 wRC+. Even although the harm bug has hit the lineup onerous, Houston has discovered sufficient depth to cowl for its absences. Isaac Paredes has appeared stable protecting third base whereas Correa was protecting shortstop for the injured Jeremy Peña and Brice Matthews and Zach Cole have been stable within the outfield whereas Jake Meyers and Joey Loperfido have been sidelined.

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS – MAY 01: Mike Burrows #50 of the Houston Astros pitches in opposition to the Boston Red Sox in the course of the sixth inning at Fenway Park on May 01, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
Getty Images

Game 1 Pitching Matchup

Pitcher

IP

Okay%

BB%

HR/FB%

GB%

WAS

FIP

Peter Lambert22.124.7%11.8%0.0%44.6%2.422.82
George Kirby5219.1%5.9%8.3%57.6%2.943.44

RHP Peter Lambert

Pitch

Usage vRHB

Usage vLHB

Velocity

Stuff+

Whiff+

BEEP+

xwOBA

Four-seam42.2%32.9%94.795118480.381
sinker18.1%0.0%94.289
Cutter8.6%16.7%92.388
Changeup7.8%36.0%88.680
Slider23.3%14.4%86.4101
Slurve16.4%10.8%81.8100

After struggling to make a lot of an affect with the Rockies to begin his profession, Peter Lambert signed a one-year cope with the Yakult Swallows of NPB final 12 months. He did not precisely excel, however he confirmed sufficient promise exterior the oppressive setting in Colorado to earn a minor league cope with the Astros this offseason. He’s been pressed into service due to all of the accidents Houston has handled and he is appeared fairly stable throughout 4 begins this 12 months. He developed a straight cutter in Japan and that pitch has been a stable addition to his repertoire. He’s additionally obtained a superb changeup to spherical out his deep arsenal.

Game 2 Pitching Matchup

Pitcher

IP

Okay%

BB%

HR/FB%

GB%

WAS

FIP

Tatsuya Imai (2025-NPB)163.227.8%7.0%4.6%48.3%1.922.01
Bryan Woo4720.3%4.3%8.2%30.9%4.023.81

From a earlier collection preview:

The Astros emerged because the stunning suitors for Tatsuya Imai this offseason, signing him to a three-year deal nicely under what many have been anticipating. Perhaps his contract fell quick as a result of it is actually onerous to determine his arsenal. There have been loads of questions on how his fastball would play in opposition to MLB batters and pitch fashions had a horrible time attempting to determine his slider. That breaking ball is exclusive to say the least. The pitch has the least quantity of horizontal motion of any slider thrown within the majors, and relying on how he locates it, it could actually appear like a screwball at instances. The heater has appeared actually good too, benefiting from a low arm slot and a number of chopping motion. Imai can even pepper in a splitter, changeup, and curveball to spherical out his pitch combine, however the fastball and slider are the 2 main weapons.

Imai could not work out of the primary inning in his final begin in opposition to the Mariners, strolling 4 and permitting a single hit in simply 0.1 innings of labor. He was positioned on the IL with common fatigue after that begin in Seattle and will likely be activated from that able to make a begin on Tuesday.

Game 3 Pitching Matchup

Pitcher

IP

Okay%

BB%

HR/FB%

GB%

WAS

FIP

Lance McCullers Jr.3425.0%13.5%16.1%42.7%7.414.81
Bryce Miller (2025)90.118.9%8.7%15.5%37.9%5.685.17

RHP Lance McCullers Jr.

Pitch

Usage vRHB

Usage vLHB

Velocity

Stuff+

Whiff+

BEEP+

xwOBA

Four-seam3.3%6.5%91.9
sinker57.1%13.5%91.4911001770.349
Cutter13.7%40.6%89.194871060.368
Changeup16.5%14.5%85.583
Curveball9.3%24.9%81.6106151660.323
sweeper35.7%10.5%82.311792760.310

From a earlier collection preview:

Lance McCullers Jr. lastly obtained again on the massive league mound final season after lacking greater than two years following elbow surgical procedure again in 2023. It wasn’t a straightforward return to his earlier type. He struggled together with his command all through the season and his velocity was down two ticks throughout the board from the place he was sitting manner again in ’22. His pitch combine appeared loads totally different too, together with his sweeper taking the place of his trademark curveball as his most well-liked breaking ball. Command is often the final talent to return after main elbow surgical procedure and he is now three years faraway from that process. I’m unsure we’ll ever see peak McCullers once more, however he is obtained the deep repertoire and expertise to be a stable starter so long as his well being holds up.

The Mariners scored six runs off McCullers in that collection in Seattle; he pitched 4.1 innings permitting 5 hits and two walks.

Game 4 Pitching Matchup

Pitcher

IP

Okay%

BB%

HR/FB%

GB%

WAS

FIP

Mike Burrows44.221.6%7.2%14.3%37.8%5.044.65
Luis Castillo38.120.8%7.3%12.0%34.1%6.574.56

RHP Mike Burrows

Pitch

Usage vRHB

Usage vLHB

Velocity

Stuff+

Whiff+

BEEP+

xwOBA

Four-seam21.6%33.9%95.010051880.403
sinker24.3%5.4%94.69778940.380
Changeup16.4%34.2%87.1861181400.250
Curveball16.4%14.0%79.797119660.271
Slider21.3%12.5%89.89588800.250

From a earlier collection preview:

The Astros acquired Mike Burrows in a three-team commerce involving the Rays and Pirates this offseason. He was surprisingly stable for Pittsburgh in his first full season within the huge leagues, at the same time as he was overshadowed by a few of the largest title pitching prospects that have been arising via their system. Those similar prospects gave the Pirates a surplus to deal from and Burrows ended up in Houston. He throws comparatively onerous and has a plus changeup to maintain batters from sitting on his heater. That offspeed pitch is his go-to swing and miss pitch too, although he has a pair of above common breaking balls as nicely. Because the Pirates handled their pitching prospects so fastidiously, most of Burrows’s work got here in four- or five-inning stints. He’ll must show he can work via an opposing lineup a 3rd time to actually take a step ahead in his improvement.

Burrows is coming off his greatest begin of the season, a scoreless seven-inning gem in opposition to the Reds. In his earlier begin in opposition to the Mariners, he allowed six runs on 11 hits and a stroll in six innings of labor.

crew

W.L.

W%

Games Behind

Run Diff

Recent Form

Athletics21-190.525-6LWWWL
Rangers19-210.4752.0-3WLLWW
Mariners19-220.4632.5+2LWWLL
Angels16-250.3905.5-24WWLLW
Astros16-250.3905.5-34WLWLL

The Athletics maintained their grip on the highest of the AL West standings, profitable their weekend collection in opposition to the Orioles. They return dwelling this week to tackle the Cardinals. The Rangers managed to quiet the crimson scorching Cubs over the weekend, holding them scoreless throughout each video games on Saturday and Sunday. Texas hosts the Diamondbacks to begin this week.

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