MLB betting tips for Monday: Phillies, Cubs could struggle to score

All the prop wager suggestions, betting projections and developments are generated by THE BAT Betting projections for each participant, crew and recreation will be discovered at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a wager is, factoring the chance that it’ll win versus the percentages the ebook is offering. If you had been to place a $1 wager 100 instances on a wager with an Expected Value of $25, you’ll win some and you’ll lose some, however in the long run you’ll anticipate to come away with $25 in revenue in your $100 funding.

Other sources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz

Monday’s prime batter prop bets

James Wood | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+121)
Projection: 50% probability of this wager hitting, with a $10.85 EV
One motive to wager this: Wood has made sizable Barrel positive aspects, enhancing his 16.1% charge of final season to 24.3% to date in 2026.

Luke Raley | OVER 0.5 HR (+1000)
Projection: 11% probability of this wager hitting, with a $21.55 EV
One motive to wager this: Raley has seen a notable improve in his exit velocity on fly balls, up to a 99.9 mph common over the past seven days.

Jose Fernandez | OVER 1.5 TB (+207)
Projection: 37% probability of this wager hitting, with a $13.31 EV
One motive to wager this: The wind initiatives to be blowing out to CF at 11.1 mph on this contest, the second-most favorable of the day for batters.

Miguel Rojas | UNDER 0.5 H (+148)
Projection: 48% probability of this wager hitting, with a $20.16 EV
One motive to wager this: Since the beginning of final season, Rojas has solely a 4.1 Barrel% (a sophisticated stat to measure energy). That falls within the thirteenth percentile of all hitters.

Monday’s prime pitcher prop bets

Christopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (+109)
Projection: 57% probability of this wager hitting, with a $19.15 EV
One motive to wager this: The Phillies have the third-best infield protection within the league, which tends to assist reduce baserunners.

Bailey Ober | OVER 4.5K (+119)
Projection: 53% probability of this wager hitting, with a $16.79 EV
One motive to wager this: With a 23.8 underlying Okay%, the Boston Red Sox have the fifth-most strikeout-heavy lineup right now.

Mike Burrows | UNDER 2.5 ER (-128)
Projection: 65% probability of this wager hitting, with a $19.56 EV
One motive to wager this: Since the beginning of 2025, Burrows’ fastball velocity of 94.7 mph has ranked within the 76th percentile of all starters.

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top Betting Trends

Note: While developments will be enjoyable to study and supply a snapshot of how groups have been doing, please remember that previous outcomes are by no means totally predictive of future efficiency. These could also be among the strongest present developments, however they don’t seem to be essentially suggestions for right now’s motion. Early within the season, these developments could lengthen again to final yr’s play.

Athletics Moneyline:
The A’s are at present on a five-game successful streak. (+7.40 Units / 148% ROI). Current odds: +109

Washington Nationals Run Line:
The Nationals have outscored their run line in seven consecutive highway video games. (+7.00 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -120

Arizona Diamondbacks Run Line:
The Diamondbacks have gained this wager in eight straight highway video games. (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -143

Philadelphia Phillies Team Total UNDER:
The Phillies have gone underneath for this wager in 5 consecutive video games. (+5.10 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -120