Our favorite picks for Monday, July 27
The ATP and WTA Tours are again on onerous courts, and the motion is about to ramp up because the street to the 2026 US Open will get underway. With the summer time swing now in full stream, this stretch is all about gamers sharpening their timing, adjusting to the circumstances, and constructing momentum earlier than New York. There’s a busy slate this week, giving us lots to dig into throughout each excursions because the hard-court season begins to take form. I’ll be posting my tennis finest bets Monday by way of Friday, then I’ll roll out my championship picks on the VSiN Pro Picks web page for the weekend finals. With that in thoughts, hold studying for my tennis finest bets for the Mubadala DC Open for Monday, July 27.
NOTE: Gill Alexander, host of A Numbers Game, posts a bunch of tennis performs to the VSiN picks web page. He does an amazing job handicapping tennis. That web page can also be the place I put up all of my Challenger-level picks + performs for all the tournaments I’m not writing up every day.
Tallon Griekspoor vs. Alejandro Tabilo
Griekspoor has had a depressing 2026 season, as he is simply 9-16 on the 12 months and hasn’t been capable of keep wholesome. Meanwhile, Tabilo has had a robust season, going 21-18 and reestablishing himself as a troublesome out on all surfaces. However, whereas Tablio is 16-8 on all of TennisViz’s tracked outside hard-court matches over the past 52 weeks, his Performance Rating in that span is 7.48. That’s truly decrease than Griekspoor’s 7.53 Performance Rating over the identical 52-week stretch, even with the Dutchman being 13-18 in such matches. That simply reveals you that even Tabilo’s higher tennis is true on par with Griekspoor’s weaker tennis, and we should always actually begin to see some higher stuff from the Dutchman quickly. The circumstances in DC favor gamers with massive servers, and Griekspoor simply has the benefit as a server on this matchup. The humidity might additionally assist Griekspoor a bit on Monday, as something the climate does to gradual issues down will give him a greater likelihood as a returner and baseliner.
Bet: Griekspoor ML (-128)
Sofia Kenin vs. Emma Navarro
Liudmila Samsonova vs. Madison Keys
I’m nicely conscious of how sq. a two-leg moneyline parlay with favorites might be, however I like Navarro and Keys to deal with their matches on Monday. Navarro has been taking part in significantly better tennis over the past couple of months, trying higher and higher from the again of the courtroom. Her potential to place a ton of balls in play ought to frustrate the hell out of Kenin, who might be extraordinarily erratic along with her ball-striking. Then, within the Keys match, I belief the American’s potential to return far more. Both gamers can go massive on the serve and pound the ball from the baseline, however Keys is simply significantly better as a returner. She has additionally been super all 12 months, as she’s 25-10 for the reason that begin of 2026. Samsonova is simply 10-18.
PARLAY: Navarro ML & Keys ML (-130 – 1.5 models)
Washington Futures
Ben Shelton To Win Mubadala DC Open (+600)
Jakub Mensik To Win Mubadala DC Open (13-1 – 0.5 models)
Frances Tiafoe To Win Mubadala DC Open (14-1 – 0.5 models)
Added Plays
I normally have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those performs depend in the direction of my file and have been an enormous a part of my success this season. Make positive you verify them out. I’ll in all probability add just a few extra over there, so refresh that web page all through the day if you happen to’re trying for motion.
