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Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger Aliassime

The numbers all say Sinner.

He’s ranked No. 2, Auger-Aliassime is No. 7. They performed 4 occasions in 2025, and Sinner received all 4. Right now he is on a 14-match win streak, and he was 12-0 in Indian Wells and Miami. FAA was 3-2 throughout the Sunshine Swing.

Is there any hope for an upset, or a aggressive contest? I’d say there are a few causes, though you might have to squint to see them.

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On Thursday, Sinner surrendered his first set since February, to Tomas Machac. The Italian’s sport briefly went haywire in the second set, and simply when it appeared he would pull it out anyway, he faltered in the tiebreaker, too. At the identical time, Auger-Aliassime was digging himself out of a 0-3 begin in opposition to Casper Ruud, and enjoying some decided tennis to do it.

FAA has weapons, and whereas he has by no means received a title on clay, his serve-forehand mixture works on all surfaces. Still, like most gamers, he does not match up all that properly in opposition to Sinner. His backhand can go awry, and if somebody has a weak point, Sinner will discover it, both together with his serve or his probing, exact floor strokes.

Last 12 months at the US Open, Auger-Aliassime received a set from him by enjoying extraordinarily impressed tennis and taking up the rallies for about 45 minutes. If he can try this once more, he’ll make this a match. But even then, I would not wager on him to win it. Winner: Sinner