2026 Indian Wells Open Best Bets for Wednesday 3/4/26

The Indian Wells Open is among the greatest tennis tournaments of the 12 months. The Round of 128 begins on Wednesday, March 4, and continues by means of to Thursday, March 5.

These are my Indian Wells Open greatest bets to focus on on DraftKings Sportsbook for the Round of 128.

2026 Indian Wells Open Best Bets

Ethan Quinn vs. Reilly Opelka: Quinn ML (-140)

Ethan Quinn is a rising title within the sport. He is at the moment the No. 73 participant within the newest ATP rankings, however he’s solely 21 years previous. Quinn performed school tennis on the University of Georgia relatively than turning skilled out of highschool. Quinn did not play a full season as an expert in 2024 and did not begin to look comfy at this stage till 2025. Last 12 months, Quinn made the third spherical at Roland Garros, received a match at Wimbledon and made the primary draw of seven ATP 1000 tournaments. However, it was at this 12 months’s Australian Open that Quinn confirmed he might turn out to be an actual menace. He upset Tallon Griekspoor within the first spherical and Hubert Hurkacz within the second spherical.

Last 12 months, Ethan Quinn needed to win two qualifier matches to get into the primary draw at Indian Wells. This 12 months, he’s an computerized qualifier and can face fellow American Reilly Opelka for the primary time. Opelka is on the downslide of his profession and has not had an ideal begin to the 2026 season. He is all the way down to No. 68 within the ATP rating after being as excessive as No. 17 at one level in his profession. Quinn is the participant to again on this match. He is a younger participant gaining in confidence, whereas Opelka’s profession is fading away. Quinn needs to be appreciative of this large alternative that he has to win a match at Indian Wells and are available along with his greatest stuff.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Denis Shapovalov: Shapovalov ML (+110)

This is an thrilling match between World No. 39 Denis Shapovalov and World No. 43 Stefanos Tsitsipas. Tsitsipas was as soon as the No. 3 participant on this planet and made a significant finale as not too long ago as 2023. However, Tsitsipas’s sport has gone off a cliff during the last two years. At the final seven Grand Slams, Tsitsipas has not made it previous the second spherical. So far this 12 months, he misplaced his first match in Dubai, was upset in Rotterdam, misplaced his first match in Adelaide and was upset within the second spherical of the Australian Open by the No. 89 participant on this planet, Aleksandar Vukic. It has turn out to be onerous to belief Tsitsipas to compete in opposition to any considerably critical participant.

My cash is on Denis Shapovalov on this match. While his greatest days are additionally behind him, Shapovalov has had a barely larger upside in current months. At the Dallas Open in February, he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to get to the semifinals. In that semifinal, he put up an ideal battle, pushing to a 3rd set tiebreaker in opposition to eventual champion Ben Shelton. Shapovalov can be 4-2 in his profession in opposition to Tsitsipas, together with successful the latest matchup. Shapovalov’s sport simply appears a bit extra reliable coming into Indian Wells, so I’ll gladly again him as an underdog.

Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Elena-Gabriela Ruse: Ruse ML (-134)

Ajla Tomljanovic bought as excessive as No. 32 within the WTA rankings at one level in her profession, however she has dropped all the way in which to World No. 85. After making three main quarterfinals in 2021 and 2022, she has not made it out of the second spherical since. She has struggled to get something going this 12 months, getting upset by lesser gamers in a number of tournaments heading into Indian Wells. Last 12 months at this event, she misplaced the primary set in her Round of 128 match after which retired with an harm. At this stage of his profession, it is onerous to see Tomljanovic successful in opposition to any critical opponent in an enormous event.

Look no additional than the 2026 Australian Open for why Elena-Gabriela Ruse is the participant to focus on on this match. Ruse and Tomljanovic simply confronted off within the second spherical, the place Ruse bought the win in two units. Ruse pulled off an upset over Dayana Yastremska within the opening spherical earlier than taking down Tomljanovic within the second spherical. She finally fell to World No. 8 Mirra Andreeva. Ruse will not be a world-class participant by any means, however his sport is rather more regular than Tomljanovic’s at this level of their careers. When there may be proof as current as six weeks in the past for who one of the best participant is, I’ll return Elena-Gabriela Ruse to beat Ajla Tomljanovic once more at Indian Wells.