IPL 2026 scenarios – what do PBKS, SRH, GT, KKR, CSK, DC and RR have to do to make the playoffs?
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Played: 13, Points: 18, NRR: 1,065
Remaining match: SRH (A)
Punjab Kings
Played: 13, Points: 13, NRR: 0.227
Remaining match: LSG (A)
PBKS’ marketing campaign has been on a freefall for the final three weeks, and their qualification possibilities have taken an additional beating with the defeat to RCB. With only one sport to go, in opposition to Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) – who have gained two of their final three contests – PBKS can end with a most of 15 factors. That will go away them at the mercy of different outcomes as 5 groups can end on 16 or extra.
With all of the different outcomes being the similar as above, PBKS will qualify with 15 factors with out NRR coming into play in the event that they win their final match.
Gujarat Titans
Played: 13, Points: 16, NRR: 0.400
Remaining match: CSK (H)
GT can verify a spot in the playoffs with a win over CSK of their final sport. A prime-two end will then rely on whether or not SRH win each their remaining matches or not; in the event that they do, it would come down to NRR.
If GT lose in opposition to CSK and finish with 16 factors, they won’t be assured of a prime-4 end, as 5 groups can nonetheless end on 16 or extra factors – SRH, GT, CSK and RR, aside from RCB. However, CSK play their final sport on Thursday and RR play certainly one of their two remaining video games earlier than that, so a loss for both of these groups will guarantee qualification for GT, as each RR and CSK want to win all their matches to attain 16.
Sunrisers Hyderabad
Played: 12, Points: 14, NRR: 0.331
Remaining match: CSK (A), RCB (H)
A win for SRH in opposition to CSK on Monday will seal qualification for them, as it would guarantee CSK can end on not more than 14 factors. As talked about above, it would additionally verify a prime-4 end for GT, leaving just one spot up for grabs.
If SRH beat CSK and lose to RCB, then they will hope to end in the prime two provided that GT lose to CSK. Both SRH and GT will then be on 16, with RR having the probability to be part of them in the event that they win their final two. NRR will determine the group which finally ends up second amongst these three.
if SRH win each their video games, then they are going to end in the prime two if GT lose to CSK, or if GT win and have a poorer NRR than SRH. On the different hand, two defeats can remove SRH as 4 groups – RCB, GT, RR and CSK – can end on 16 or extra factors.
Rajasthan Royals
Played: 12, Points: 12, NRR: 0.027
Remaining match: LSG (H), MI (A)
With defeats of their final three video games – and six defeats of their final eight – RR have been struggling. Even in the event that they win their final two – in opposition to groups who have already been eradicated – they may nonetheless be certainly one of 4 groups combating for 3 spots on 16 factors. However, if CSK lose to SRH on Monday, then 16 will guarantee qualification.
To qualify with 14 factors with out NRR coming into the body, they are going to want CSK, DC and PBKS to lose their matches, and for KKR to lose to MI.
Chennai Super Kings
Played: 12, Points: 12, NRR: 0.027
Remaining match: SRH (H), GT (A)
As talked about above, even when CSK win their final two matches and end on 16 factors, they may nonetheless be in a 4-means combat for 3 spots. However, if CSK lose to SRH, then 16 factors might be sufficient for qualification, which suggests SRH and GT will each be via to the playoffs.
For CSK to take the fourth spot, they are going to have to beat GT of their final match, and hope that a number of different outcomes go their means, together with defeats for RR, PBKS and KKR, in order that none of them get to 14 or extra. CSK in all probability would not thoughts an NRR battle with DC, who’re languishing on -0.871, however RR are at present stage with them on NRR as effectively, which suggests the margins of outcomes will matter immensely in case it comes down to a tie-breaker between the two groups.
Kolkata Knight Riders
Played: 12, Points: 11, NRR: -0.038
Remaining match: MI (H), DC (H)
PBKS’ defeat in opposition to RCB has supplied some extra hope to KKR, though qualification remains to be not fully of their arms, as 5 groups can end on 16 or extra factors (together with RCB, who have 18). For KKR to qualify with out NRR, they are going to have to hope that no multiple out of SRH, RR and CSK transcend 15 factors – SRH want just one win to transfer to 16, whereas RR and CSK want two every. If that occurs, and PBKS lose to LSG, then KKR can qualify with two wins and 15 factors. In reality, if SRH lose each matches, CSK lose to GT, and RR get not more than two factors from their two remaining matches, then each KKR and PBKS can qualify with 15 factors.
If KKR lose to DC then might be most undoubtedly be out, but when they lose to MI and beat DC, they are going to nonetheless have an especially distant probability of qualifying, if PBKS lose to LSG and keep on 13. It will then come down to NRR between PBKS and KKR for the fourth spot.
Delhi Capitals
Played: 13, Points: 12, NRR: -0.871
Remaining match: KKR (A)
DC’s NRR is so poor that their solely actual probability is to get to 14, and then hope that different outcomes work of their favor, in order that they make it as the fourth group with out NRR coming into play. For that to occur, PBKS, CSK and RR will have to lose their remaining matches. Then RCB, GT, SRH and DC might be the 4 groups that qualify.
S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats
