Spurs vs. Thunder prediction, odds: 2026 NBA Western Conference finals picks for Game 1

The 2026 NBA Western Conference finals get underway when the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs battle the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday evening. San Antonio is coming off a 139-109 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday to win their semifinal collection 4-2, whereas Oklahoma City downed the Los Angeles Lakers 115-110 on May 11 to comb their collection. De’Aaron Fox (ankle) and Luke Kornet (foot) are questionable for San Antonio. Jalen Williams (hamstring) might be out there for OKC after final taking part in in Game 2 of their first-round collection towards the Suns.

Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is about for 8:30 pm ET. The Thunder are 6.5-point favorites within the newest Spurs vs. Thunder odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, whereas the over/beneath for complete factors scored is 221.5. Victor Wembanyama’s over/beneath for complete factors is 23.5, whereas MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s is 30.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Spurs picks, check out the Spurs vs. Thunder predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each NBA recreation 10,000 instances and has returned effectively over $10,000 in betting revenue for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous eight-plus seasons. The mannequin entered the convention finals of the 2026 NBA playoffs with a scorching 26-10 roll (72%) on top-rated NBA unfold picks this season. Anyone following its NBA betting recommendation at sportsbooks and on betting apps might have seen enormous returns.

Now, the mannequin has been simulated Spurs vs. Thunder 10,000 instances and simply revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are a number of NBA odds and NBA betting traces for Thunder vs. Spurs:

Top Spurs vs. Thunder predictions

After 10,000 simulations of Spurs vs. Thunder, SportsLine’s mannequin is going Under on the whole (221.5). The Under has hit in six of the final 10 head-to-head conferences, together with three of 5 conferences this season. The Under has additionally hit in 51 of the final 94 Spurs video games with one push when the road is over 205. The Under has hit 25 out of 48 San Antonio highway video games with one push when the Spurs face groups permitting 102 or extra factors.

The SportsLine mannequin is projecting simply three Spurs gamers to attain 13 factors or extra, led by Victor Wembanyama’s 24.7 factors. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to steer the Thunder with 29.7 factors scored, however simply three Oklahoma City gamers are forecast to attain 16 factors or extra. The groups are projected to mix for 213 complete factors because the Under hits in 64% of simulations, making it an incredible choice for anybody concentrating on NBA parlay betting. See the Spurs vs. Thunder spread pick at SportsLineand you’ll wager the Under in Thunder vs. Spurs at FanDuel right here:

How to make Spurs vs. Thunder picks

After simulating every possession of Spurs vs. Thunder 10,000 instances, the mannequin additionally says one aspect of the unfold is one of the best worth. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who wins Spurs vs. Thunder, and which aspect of the unfold is one of the best worth? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Spurs vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picksand discover out.