Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks – Feb. 11

The New Orleans Pelicans (15-40) take on the Miami Heat (28-27) on February 11, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, and Pelicans+. The Pelicans match up with the Heat in a game that New Orleans is currently a slim favorite by 1.5 points. The game’s point total is 231.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Pelicans-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pelicans vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
• TV: FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, and Pelicans+
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+1.5)
O/U Pick: Over (231.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 – Pelicans 116

Pelicans vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Out of 55 games so far this season, the Pelicans have played 31 with more than 231.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total.
• The Heat games have gone over 231.5 total points scored in 34 of 55 total matchups this season.
• The Pelicans and Heat average 2.7 more points between them than the over/under of 231.5 for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.2 more points per game (237.7) than this matchup’s over/under of 231.5 points.
• New Orleans has been chosen as the favorite in seven games this year and has walked away with the win six times (85.7%) in those games.
• Miami has come away with 12 wins in the 28 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• In the last one head-to-head matchups, Miami has a 1-0 record against New Orleans.
• The Heat also have a 1-0 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Pelicans.

Pelicans Recent Trends

• The Pelicans are 6-3-1 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• New Orleans’ average total over the last 10 games is 1.9 points more than the 231.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Pelicans are 30-24-1 against the spread this season.
• So far this season, New Orleans has been installed as favorites by a 1.5-point margin or more six times and are 5-1 ATS in those matchups.
• The Pelicans have gone over the point total in 49.1% of their opportunities this year (27 times over 55 games with a set point total).
• The 114.7 points per game the Pelicans record are just 2.6 fewer points than the Heat give up (117.3).
• New Orleans is 16-7 against the spread and 9-14 overall when scoring more than 117.3 points.
• The Pelicans make 46.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.4 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (45.8%).
• The Pelicans have a better record against the spread at home (17-11-0) than they do in away games (13-13-1).
• New Orleans has eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (53.6%) than games on the road (44.4%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Pelicans have won a higher percentage of their home games (1.000) compared to away games (.500).

Pelicans Recent Stats

Pelicans Leaders

• Trey Murphy III averages 22.2 points, 5.7 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 47.7% from the field and 38.0% from beyond the arc with 3.3 made treys per contest (ninth in league).
• Derik Queen averages 12.2 points, 4.2 assists and 7.3 rebounds per game.
• Zion Williamson averages 21.5 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game, shooting 58.2% from the field.
• Saddiq Bey puts up 16.6 points, 5.8 boards and 2.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.0 blocks.
• Jeremiah Fears averages 13.2 points, 3.0 assists and 3.6 rebounds.

Pelicans Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Miami has averaged a total of 234.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 3.1 greater than this matchup’s total of 231.5.
• In the Heat’s 55 games this season, they have 31 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, Miami has been installed as underdogs by a 1.5-point margin or more 26 times and are 16-9-1 ATS in those games.
• Heat games this season have gone over the total in 28 of 55 opportunities (50.9%).
• The Heat score an average of 119.5 points per game, just 0.9 fewer points than the 120.4 the Pelicans allow to opponents.
• Miami has put together a 21-3 ATS record and an 18-5 overall record in games it scores more than 120.4 points.
• The Heat are shooting 46.2% from the field, 1.8% lower than the 48% the Pelicans’ opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Heat have had better results away (17-10-1) than at home (14-13-0) .
• Miami’s games have finished above the over/under 51.9% of the time at home (14 of 27), and 50% of the time away (14 of 28).
• When moneyline favorites, the Heat have won a lower percentage of games at home (11-9) than away (5-2).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo provides 18.3 points, 9.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game for the Heat.
• The Heat are getting 15.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins this year.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. gets the Heat 15.1 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists per contest while putting up 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Heat are receiving 11.2 points, 9.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game from Kel’el Ware this season.
• The Heat are receiving 9.0 points, 2.5 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game from Davion Mitchell this season.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.