Gen Z fled San Francisco for Texas and Florida. Now they’re turning to Nashville and Orlando

Gen Z fled San Francisco for Texas and Florida. Now they’re turning to Nashville and Orlando


From the mid-2000s by means of the late 2010s, San Francisco was a magnet for younger graduates pushed largely by Web 2.0 and the cellular tech increase. It was a cool metropolis that boasted high-paying jobs and promised a breezy West Coast life-style.

But prior to now a number of years, youthful employees have been ditching San Francisco for cheaper cities and higher work-life steadiness. It began with a pandemic exodus, as employees moved to be nearer to their households or to pursue a distinct life-style; then they steadily drifted towards Texas and Florida, the place jobs have been plentiful and lease was extra manageable. In reality, a survey by world structure agency Gensler confirmed nearly half of San Francisco’s younger, childless adults have been considering a transfer.

And now a brand new report from business actual property and funding administration agency JLL reveals there is a third chapter in San Francisco’s migration script during which youthful generations are transferring to “welcomer cities” like Nashville and Orlando.

JLL now defines Nashville and Orlando as welcomers as a result of they nonetheless provide loads of company job alternatives, however are extra inexpensive than massive cities.

“Specifically, Nashville’s outsized cultural presence and Orlando’s favorable tax policy make them powerful magnets for talent,” Travis McCreadyhead of industries, leasing advisory at JLL, advised Fortune.

McCready identified welcoming cities total have a web migration fee of 5.2% over the previous three years, whereas “anchor” cities like New York and the Bay Area grew simply 0.6% from migration over the identical time interval.

What this additionally means is welcoming cities like Nashville and Orlando at the moment are reliable contenders within the innovation financial system, in accordance to JLL, which tracks expertise migration, workplace market dynamics, and company funding throughout 135 cities globally.

Will ‘welcomer cities’ stick?

Especially prior to now few years, Gen Z has been flocking to extra inexpensive cities simply to get by throughout the cost-of-living disaster. Aside from locations like Texas and Florida, many have been made moves to the Midwestthe place properties are about 30% cheaper than on the coasts.

By 2025 Consumer Affairs analysis of US Census Bureau and Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) information discovered that seven of the ten most accessible meters for younger owners are within the Midwest. Unsurprisingly, California dominated the checklist of the least inexpensive metro areas for Gen Z.

TO cost-of-living comparison by Apartments.com reveals the price of residing in San Francisco is 80.6% greater than in Orlando, and housing costs are 226.2% greater. Compared with Nashville, San Francisco’s value of residing is 66.3% greater, and housing is almost 150% dearer.

“The pull factors that drew people to affordability- and lifestyle-oriented cities [like Nashville and Orlando] “They are not likely to disappear, and people have built lives, bought homes, and put down roots in these markets,” McCready mentioned.

Corporate migration additionally reinforces why youthful individuals are transferring. In 2024, Oracle introduced plans to set up what it known as its “world headquarters” in Nashville, committing $1.2 billion in capital funding over a decade and pledging to add 8,500 jobs to the world, with Tennessee state leaders providing a $65 million financial grant to assist offset prices. (Although recent reports suggest Oracle is struggling a bit to entice employees to its workplace.)

starbucks additionally lately introduced it might debut a corporate hub in Nashville, which might reportedly be 250,000 sq. ft, or massive sufficient for up to 2,000 staff, in accordance to Cost.

“With these growth plans, we see Nashville, Tennessee, as an ideal location to open an office and establish a more strategic presence in the Southeast region of the US,” Starbucks COO Mike Grams mentioned in a press release.

In Orlando, Travel + Leisure made the choice to relocate its world headquarters downtown—a transfer McCready known as “a signal worth paying attention to.” Boston-based cybersecurity agency SimSpace additionally moved its headquarters to Orlando this yr, and world banking software program firm Temenos, AMD, and Charles Schwab have all introduced expansions in Orlando prior to now couple of years.

Despite all of those strikes, it under no circumstances suggests cities like San Francisco or New York are useless. It simply means they’re competing extra now with midsize markets.

“What we are seeing in established hubs like New York and the Bay Area is a recovery, but it’s highly selective,” McCready mentioned. “Demand is concentrating in locations and areas with excessive levels of accessibility, visibility, and entry to facilities. And the provision in these markets is genuinely constraining: Only about 9% of workplace area within the Bay Area and main anchor cities was constructed after 2020.

“So even companies that want to consolidate in San Francisco or New York are competing for a very thin slice of truly desirable space,” he continued.

The workplace market math

For corporations weighing a relocation resolution, the numbers in rising innovation hubs like Orlando or Nashville inform a compelling story. Nashville ranked among the many prime 5 US markets for absorption-to-delivery ratios in 2025, with 35% of latest provide absorbed final yr, alongside New York, Charlotte, Seattle, and Phoenix. Class A rents sit at $43.52 per sq. foot, which is meaningfully under large-city charges however in area McCready describes as “genuinely competitive.”

Orlando’s emptiness fee of 15.3% is effectively under the nationwide common of twenty-two.4%, and the market is seeing regular demand for high-quality, amenity-rich area. That stands in distinction to the Bay Area, the place solely about 9% of complete workplace stock was constructed after 2020, and the place prime rents common $1,296 per sq. meter. Class A+ rents in a welcoming metropolis (like Orlando or Nashville) common $627 per sq. meter, roughly half that determine, in accordance to JLL’s information.

“You are competing for very little space against very deep-pocketed incumbents” in San Francisco, McCready mentioned. “Emerging hubs offer something increasingly rare: optionality. More modern inventory, more competitive rents, and—critically—talent pools that are growing, not just circulating.”

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