Polyana Viana vs. Alice Ardelean prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 117
(*117*)Polyana Viana vs. Alice Ardelean prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 117 appeared first on ClutchPoints. Add ClutchPoints as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
UFC Vegas 117: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa continues on the prelims with a combat between Polyana Viana and Alice Ardelean within the strawweight division on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Viana-Ardelean prediction and pick.
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Polyana Viana enters (13-8) has hit a critical wall of late, being submitted through rear-naked choke by Jaqueline Amorim in April 2025, extending her skid to 3 straight losses after a TKO defeat to Gillian Robertson and a submission loss to Iasmin Lucindo. Despite her elite jiu-jitsu pedigree and 12 first-round finishes, the Iron Lady desperately wants a turnaround as she comes into her combat this weekend towards Alice Ardelean.
Alice Ardelean (11-7) enters UFC Vegas 117 driving a two-fight successful streak, lately gutting out a unanimous choice win over Rayanne dos Santos in May 2025, then adopted it up with one other unanimous choice victory over Montserrat Conejo Ruiz in November 2025, exhibiting actual consistency on the toes with a high-volume putting output. Now brimming with confidence, Ardelean appears to make it three straight as she comes into her combat this weekend towards Polyana Viana.
UFC Vegas 117 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 117 Odds: Polyana Viana-Alice Ardelean Odds
Polyana Viana: +170
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Alice Ardelean: -205
Over 2.5 rounds: -238
Under 2.5 rounds: +180
Why Polyana Viana Will Win
Polyana “The Iron Lady” Viana could also be on a three-fight shedding streak, however her elite jiu-jitsu pedigree makes her one of the crucial harmful submission artists in all the strawweight division. With 12 first-round finishes on his abstract, one mistake from Ardelean on the bottom might finish this combat right away.
Ardelean is a striker-first fighter who thrives when the combat stays standing, averaging 7.35 important strikes per minute — however that aggressive, forward-pressing fashion might stroll her immediately into Viana’s world-class grappling. The Iron Lady has the takedown means and clinch work to tug this combat to the mat and make Ardelean deeply uncomfortable.
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Viana’s expertise edge can be important — she has been within the UFC since 2018 and has confronted elite-level competitors all through her profession, giving her a composure and combat IQ {that a} fighter like Ardelean merely hasn’t been examined towards but. When the intense lights get brightest, that veteran savvy might show to be the deciding issue.
Additionally, Ardelean’s two current wins got here towards lower-ranked opposition, and stepping up in expertise towards Viana represents a transparent leap in competitors stage. A motivated, back-against-the-wall Iron Lady with submission threats round each nook is a nightmare matchup for a striker coming into her prime as she faces Polyana Viana this Saturday.
Why Alice Ardelean Will Win
Alice Ardelean enters UFC Vegas 117 on a two-fight successful streak and with critical momentum on her aspect, whereas Viana is staggering into this bout on three straight losses. Momentum and confidence are intangible components that completely matter contained in the Octagon, and Ardelean has each in abundance proper now.
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Ardelean’s putting quantity is just elite — her 7.35 important strikes per minute is among the many highest within the strawweight division, and a fighter like Viana who has been completed a number of occasions lately could wrestle to outlive that sort of relentless strain. Keeping the combat standing and peppering Viana with mixtures early might shake her confidence and take away any offensive grappling alternatives earlier than they develop.
Viana’s current losses have uncovered actual vulnerability — she was submitted and stopped in back-to-back-to-back fights, elevating critical questions on whether or not her sturdiness and defensive grappling can maintain up at this stage anymore. A fighter who has been completed three consecutive occasions carries important psychological scars that Ardelean’s aggressive fashion will check instantly.
Ardelean’s UFC file of 2-2 additionally undersells her general growth as an entire fighter, together with her final two performances exhibiting clear enhancements in ring generalship and output. If she will be able to neutralize the takedown menace and preserve this combat aggressive on the toes, the Romanian strawweight has all of the instruments to placed on a dominant efficiency and hand Viana her fourth consecutive defeat this Saturday.
Final Polyana Viana-Alice Ardelean Prediction & Pick
This strawweight matchup is a basic striker vs. grappler conflict, and the end result will largely rely on the place the combat takes place. Ardelean’s elite putting quantity offers her a transparent path to victory on the toes, whereas Viana’s submission arsenal makes each floor trade a possible fight-ending second.
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Expect Ardelean to return out rapidly and look to determine her putting early, utilizing her excessive output to maintain Viana pinned towards the cage and restrict her takedown makes an attempt. Viana will probably be affected person, looking for that single takedown or clinch alternative that might flip all the combat on its head.
Ultimately, Ardelean’s relentless putting tempo proves an excessive amount of for a Viana squad nonetheless looking out for solutions after three straight defeats.
Final Polyana Viana-Alice Ardelean Prediction & Pick: Alice Ardelean (-205), Over 2.5 Runds (-238)
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