Tennis Best Bets Today: Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters picks for Thursday, April 9
The 2026 Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters is underway on the Monte-Carlo Country Club, and the clay-court motion actually heats up on the French Riviera. We’ve damaged down the day’s greatest tennis betting picks for Monte-Carlo, digging into matchup techniques, floor tendencies, and present kind to search out the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you are betting the moneyline, sport unfold, set unfold, or whole, our 2026 Monte-Carlo Masters greatest bets are constructed that can assist you revenue. I’m dropping a few of my favourite performs for Thursday, April 9 under, however be sure you additionally monitor the picks page all through the day. I usually have a couple of extra picks over there, plus I often add performs primarily based on how strains are shifting. That’s additionally the place Gill Alexander posts his greatest bets.
(*9*)Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
Auger-Aliassime has received three straight matches towards Ruud, with two of them approaching outside clay. However, I’m nonetheless discovering it laborious to put off the Norwegian right here. Ruud is 160-57 on the grime in his profession, profitable a outstanding 73.7% of his matches. Meanwhile, Auger-Aliassime is simply 50-44 on clay, which is nice for solely 53.2%. Ruud’s 7.98 clay-court Performance Rating at TennisViz and Tennis Data Innovations over the past 52 weeks additionally occurs to be deal larger than Auger-Aliassime’s 7.67 score.
There’s only a lot when taking a look at general clay-court historical past and up to date clay-court efficiency that means ignoring the head-to-head is the best way to go right here.
I’d additionally argue that Monte-Carlo affords a number of the purist clay-court situations. These matches are sluggish, bodily, and ugly, which ought to profit Ruud a bit extra. Auger-Aliassime needs to serve up unreturnables and blast winners from the baseline, however all of that will probably be tough in Monaco. Well, Ruud is way extra prone to be the participant that takes benefit of the situations and wins the point-construction battle.
Bet: Ruud ML (-148 – 1.5 models)
Matteo Berrettini vs. Joao Fonseca
Zizou Bergs vs. Alexander Zverev
I feel there’s an actual probability Berrettini beats Fonseca on Thursday, however I’m taking him to win a set as an alternative. To get a greater value on that safer decide, I’m pairing the Italian with a moneyline play on Zverev.
With Berrettini, it is simply clear he is regaining his confidence in Monte-Carlo. These courts have at all times suited his sport, however he is by way of to the third spherical with out having misplaced a sport. Sure, he solely wanted to play 4 of them towards Roberto Bautista Agut earlier than the Spaniard retired, however following that up with a 6-0, 6-0 win over Daniil Medvedev was great. Berrettini’s Performance Rating by way of two matches is now 8.66, which is extraordinarily excessive. And general, I do suppose his sport can bother Fonseca. For starters, Berrettini’s service video games are just a little extra easy. Fonseca will find yourself being a implausible server, however he does often sleepwalk by way of service video games and provides his opponents possibilities to interrupt. On these courts, Berrettini can money in on these possibilities. Also, from the again of the court docket, Berrettini is among the few gamers in tennis with a forehand as large as Fonseca’s.
In the opposite match, I’m simply unsure Bergs is stable sufficient to constantly hit by way of Zverev’s elite clay-court protection. Bergs is an effective participant that may bother anybody when he is on his sport, however he’s additionally just a little erratic. Zverev will deliver the worst out of him from the baseline, whereas additionally holding lots simpler.
PARLAY: Berrettini +1.5 Sets & Zverev ML (-123)
