Tennis Best Bets Today: Miami Open picks and predictions for Monday, March 23
The 2026 Miami Open is in full swing at Hard Rock Stadium, and Monday, March 23 brings one other loaded slate of ATP and WTA motion from South Florida. We’ve damaged down the day’s finest tennis betting picks for Miami, digging into matchup ways, courtroom circumstances, and present type to search out the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you are betting the moneyline, recreation unfold, set unfold, or whole, our 2026 Miami Open finest bets are constructed that can assist you revenue. I’m dropping a few of my favourite performs under, however ensure you additionally monitor the picks page all through the day. I usually have just a few extra picks over there, plus I often add performs based mostly on how traces are shifting. That’s additionally the place Gill Alexander posts his finest bets.
Frances Tiafoe vs. Jakub Mensik
Tiafoe tends to play his finest tennis in American hard-court occasions, however that normally comes within the run as much as the US Open. He truly hasn’t been past the quarterfinals in South Beach, and he has been bounced earlier than that stage in 5 straight Miami Opens. Meanwhile, Mensik is the defending champion right here, having made a dream run in 2025 — and one which ended with a win over Novak Djokovic. Well, with these two having very totally different histories right here, it is laborious to not instantly see worth in Mensik as a small favourite.
Mensik’s recreation is simply harmful in these circumstances. He’s among the best servers on the planet, in order that goes a good distance in these sooner circumstances. He’s additionally lengthy sufficient to get a superb quantity of returns in play, and his constant baseline fashion interprets to all surfaces.
Mensik additionally owns a giant win over Tiafoe already, beating him 6-1, 6-4 in a lopsided match in Davis Cup qualifying final 12 months. That match additionally occurred to happen in Florida, and it was a really pro-Tiafoe setting. The American may have the gang right here, but it surely will not be something like that was.
Bet: Mensik ML (-152)
Sorana Cirstea vs. Coco Gauff
Gauff’s double-fault proportion was at the least 10.3% within the seven matches she performed earlier than taking over Alycia Parks on Saturday. The world No. 4 was in a position to get it all the way down to 9.0% towards Parks, and the second and third units have been a lot, significantly better for her. After dropping the opener, she ended up pulling out to a 3-6, 6-0, 6-1 win. However, Gauff has actually struggled to beat stable gamers lately. In her final 10 matches, she has two losses to Elina Svitolina, a loss to Elisabetta Cocciaretto, a lopsided loss to Alexandra Eala, and a number of hard-fought wins in matches that would not usually be shut. That stated, her type is a little bit of a multitude, making Cirstea an attention-grabbing play on Monday.
Cirstea is retiring on the finish of this season, however she’s enjoying the perfect tennis of her profession. She’s 15-4 because the begin of 2026, which is sweet for a career-high successful proportion of 78.9%. Cirstea can also be on fireplace at this match, beating Shuai Zhang, Linda Noskova, and Elise Mertens on her option to this match within the Round of 16.
Cirstea is a giant ball-striker, performs fearless tennis from the baseline, and she’s actually in a position to management factors along with her energy. Well, if she’s in a position to flip in a good day as a server, there is not any cause she will be able to’t preserve this match tight. Also, if she’s in a position to play a variety of balls to the Gauff forehand, that’ll additionally assist her probabilities.
Bet: Cirstea +1.5 Sets (-151 – 1.5 items) & Cirstea ML (+175 – 0.5 items)
