Series Preview: Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves
The Mariners stunk it up actual dangerous at dwelling towards the Royals and now should face one in all baseball’s hottest groups within the Atlanta Braves. Should be effective, proper?
Both of those groups are banged up fairly badly so we would as effectively do an harm roundup for each groups:
The Mariners will stay with out Brendan Donovan for the sequence, though he is set to start a rehab task this week and can hopefully be part of the workforce this weekend in Chicago. Victor Robles can also be nearing a return, however seemingly not for this sequence as he is simply began rehabbing in Tacoma. Cal Raleigh stays day-to-day with facet tightness. The Mariners can even be lacking setup man Matt Brash for some time longer as he offers with lat irritation.
For Atlanta, they not too long ago put Ronald Acuña Jr. on the 10-day IL with a hamstring pressure. As obliques and lats stalk the Mariners, leg accidents appear to the Braves’ běte noir; Michael Harris Jr. additionally has a balky quad and can seemingly be restricted to DH duties throughout this sequence. However, that creates a logjam with catcher Sean Murphy, who will return this sequence after low season hip labrum surgical procedure and also will should be restricted to DH duties. Ha-Seong Kim has simply begun a rehab task and will not make the journey to Seattle. Spencer Strider returned from the IL to make his first begin of the yr on Sunday, however was battered in Coors Field, resulting in a heavy bullpen day on Sunday. Atlanta can also be at the moment with out their nearer Raisel Iglesias, albeit a much less bitter capsule due to their signing of former Padres bullpen ace Robert Suarez this winter — although it appears like Iglesias shall be activated off the IL on Tuesday as quickly as he is eligible. That’s all compounded by Atlanta lacking 4 of its potential rotation arms resulting from main surgical procedure this spring or final fall, with AJ Smith-Shawver, Hurston Waldrep, Joey Wentz, and Spencer Schwellenbach all sidelined nonetheless for months to come back.
At a Glance
Games | time | Mariners Starter | Braves Starter | Mariners Win% | Braves Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 1 | Monday, May 4 | 6:40 p.m. | RHP Logan Gilbert | RHP JR Ritchie | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| Game 2 | Tuesday, May 5 | 6:40 p.m. | RHP George Kirby | RHP Bryce Elder | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Game 3 | Wednesday, May 6 | 1:10 p.m. | RHP Bryan Woo | RHP Grant Holmes | 60.2% | 39.8% |
Team Overview
Overview | Braves | Mariners | edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Batting (wRC+) | 124 (1st in NL) | 101 (4th in AL) | Braves |
| Fielding (FRV) | 9 (third) | -11 (14th) | Braves |
| Starting Pitching (FIP-) | 106 (tenth) | 94 (fifth) | Mariners |
| Bullpen (FIP-) | 85 (third) | 84 (2nd) | Mariners |
All these absences and some extra from their bullpen depth have left Atlanta with a path to victory cast in prodigious offense outlays. The Team of the South spent a number of years as probably the most viable peer on paper to the Los Angeles Dodgers, boasting a mix of stellar gamers from their inside improvement and savvy exterior acquisitions, with extensions signed on their core gamers effectively beneath market price permitting them to pay far lower than the efficiency they’ve obtained would counsel. This yr, their glovework particularly has helped them buoy a beleaguered rotation, with Gold Glovers at shortstop, first base, and even on the mound in Chris Sale, alongside robust defenders across the outfield.
Braves Lineup
participant | place | Bats | PA | Ok% | BB% | ISO | wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Dubón | C.F. | R | 131 | 16.0% | 6.9% | 0.150 | 108 |
| Drake Baldwin | c | l | 161 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 0.203 | 154 |
| Matt Olson | 1B | l | 158 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 0.350 | 177 |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Yes | 151 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 0.215 | 157 |
| Michael Harris II | D.H. | l | 113 | 17.7% | 5.3% | 0.236 | 151 |
| Austin Riley | 3B | R | 148 | 26.4% | 8.8% | 0.136 | 76 |
| Eli White | L.F. | R | 53 | 18.9% | 3.8% | 0.180 | 72 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | RF | l | 109 | 24.8% | 7.3% | 0.060 | 49 |
| Jorge Mateo | H.H | R | 44 | 36.4% | 4.5% | 0.190 | 120 |
Perplexing on the time and blessed in hindsight, Houston traded away Mauricio Dubón to Atlanta for light-hitting infielder Nick Allen this winter. The cost-saving transfer additionally saved the Astros from the indignity of paying a great participant, permitting Dubón to fit right into a roster so effectively I needed to double-check he’d not been a Brave earlier than. With Acuña out, Seattle will get a reprieve the least bit, however he is been a extra modest engine for the Atlanta offense. Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies are longtime stalwarts, though Albies having a scalding sizzling opening to the yr. Drake Baldwin and Michael Harris II seem like their Rookie of the Year (or RoY-caliber) selves. Harris has been nursing a quad harm, so he’ll cede defensive floor to the speedy-but-thumpless White. Hotlanta is barely extra susceptible as such, however it is a bit like saying preventing a leopard within the daylight is simple in comparison with doing so at night time.
Game 1 Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | IP | Ok% | BB% | HR/FB% | GB% | WAS | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Ritchie | 12.1 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 23.1% | 35.3% | 2.92 | 5.99 |
| Logan Gilbert | 38 | 24.4% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 36.7% | 4.03 | 3.33 |
Due to all of the accidents the Braves have suffered of their beginning rotation, JR Ritchie made his main league debut a little bit forward of schedule. A 2022 first spherical select of Bainbridge High School, he shortly bounced again from a critical arm harm in ’23 and jumped by Atlanta’s farm system. None of his abilities really stand out, however the sum of the entire package deal is an above common pitcher. His command is nice sufficient, his fastballs have first rate sufficient form, and he has a deep sufficient repertoire to work by a lineup a few occasions. He will not be dominant, however he is adequate to carry down a spot in the direction of the again of a rotation.
Game 2 Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | IP | Ok% | BB% | HR/FB% | GB% | WAS | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | 43 | 20.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 43.3% | 1.88 | 3.13 |
| George Kirby | 45 | 19.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 56.5% | 3.00 | 3.66 |
RHP Bryce Elder
Pitch | Usage vRHB | Usage vLHB | Velocity | Stuff+ | Whiff+ | BEEP+ | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 7.8% | 31.2% | 92.5 | 80 | 74 | 119 | 0.280 |
| sinker | 53.4% | 8.5% | 91.4 | 89 | 125 | 84 | 0.325 |
| Cutter | 0.0% | 17.1% | 88.8 | 82 | |||
| Changeup | 4.7% | 12.1% | 85.7 | 88 | |||
| Slider | 34.2% | 31.2% | 83.4 | 87 | 97 | 76 | 0.248 |
Bryce Elder has been a stunning stabilizing drive within the Braves rotation. An All-Star again in 2023, he is actually struggled during the last two years, placing up a mixed 5.59 ERA and a 4.55 FIP in ’24 and ’25. He’s made some delicate tweaks to his pitch arsenal and has seemed stable throughout his first seven begins of this season. He added a cutter to his combine, and regardless that the pitch would not actually stand out, it has allowed him to chop again on the utilization of his sinker. He’s now throwing his slider, his greatest pitch, as his major pitch and rising the utilization of his four-seamer as effectively. The outcomes have been incredible even when the underlying peripherals aren’t as impressed together with his abilities. Still, it is vastly improved over his ugly efficiency from the final two years; that is all of the Braves wanted at this level within the season.
Game 3 Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | IP | Ok% | BB% | HR/FB% | GB% | WAS | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes | 37.1 | 18.1% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 44.2% | 4.34 | 5.05 |
| Bryan Woo | 41 | 17.5% | 3.6% | 9.0% | 31.0% | 4.61 | 4.22 |
RHP Grant Holmes
Pitch | Usage vRHB | Usage vLHB | Velocity | Stuff+ | Whiff+ | BEEP+ | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 33.1% | 40.7% | 94.6 | 80 | 72 | 102 | 0.375 |
| sinker | 13.0% | 0.9% | 93.4 | 92 | |||
| Cutter | 2.0% | 7.8% | 92.0 | 82 | |||
| Changeup | 0.0% | 5.3% | 89.6 | ||||
| Curveball | 6.3% | 14.3% | 83.4 | 98 | |||
| Slider | 45.7% | 31.1% | 85.4 | 99 | 150 | 114 | 0.287 |
Grant Holmes made the leap into the massive leagues again in 2024 after an extended and winding minor league profession. The key to his late-career breakout was a revamped slider that helped him increase his strikeout charges up into the 24–25% vary. An elbow harm affected his command final yr and his outcomes slid a little bit and he is continued to battle to begin this season. He’s received a deep repertoire to work with, though the remainder of his pitches are merely common at greatest. The slider is devastating, nevertheless, returning to a whiff price approaching 50% this yr.
AL West Standings
workforce | W.L. | W% | Games Behind | Run Diff | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | 18-16 | 0.529 | — | -10 | WWLLW |
| Rangers | 16-18 | 0.471 | 2.0 | -1 | LWWLL |
| Mariners | 16-19 | 0.457 | 2.5 | +2 | WWLLL |
| Astros | 14-21 | 0.400 | 4.5 | -23 | LWLWW |
| Angels | 13-22 | 0.371 | 5.5 | -15 | LLLWL |
Seattle’s embarrassing sweep – The Big P-Unit – by the hands of the Royals was one other masterclass in what’s ailed these M’s. One-run and shut losses with meat left on the bone. And but, it misplaced them a whopping single sport of positioning towards the Athletics and Rangers. They noticed their faces rubbed within the mud by the joint division leaders of the AL Central, the Guardians and Tigers respectively. The Lastros aren’t any extra, having sludged their means out of the sewer, taking two out of three from the equally moribund Red Sox. Anaheim is in free-fall, dropping two of three to the Mets and having misplaced 12 of their final 14 video games since their 11-10 begin.
