2026 NBA playoffs first-round series odds: Rockets still favored to beat Lakers after Game 1 loss
It’s time for the NBA to hit its further gear within the playoffs. The 16-team discipline is about following the Play-In Tournament, which featured a number of shut video games.
The residence groups received all 4 video games on the primary day of motion on Saturday, which makes any upsets much less probably. However, the No. 5 seed Houston Rockets are still favored to beat the No. 4 Los Angeles Lakers after dropping Game 1 on the highway with out Kevin Durant.
Sunday could possibly be extra of the identical. The 4 video games function comparatively lopsided spreads with three groups favored by a double digits and Detroit favored by a still substantial 8.5 factors.
This is a have a look at the chances for all eight first-round series within the NBA playoffs. It can be up to date each day all through the playoffs, as the chances to win every series will shift with outcomes.
Eastern Conference playoffs
1. Detroit Pistons vs. 8. Orlando Magic
Game 1: 6:30 pm ET, Sunday
Series odds: Pistons -500, Magic +380
The Pistons made the bounce from 44 wins final season to 60 this season. Cade Cunningham and firm acquired a style of the playoffs with a 4-2 series loss within the first spherical by the hands of the New York Knicks. Now come expectations — that are still comparatively modest.
The Pistons are solely fourth within the odds to win the Eastern Conference regardless of holding the highest seed. Part of Detroit’s outlook is said to issues about Cunningham’s well being. Just because the No. 1 decide within the 2021 NBA Draft was rising as an MVP candidate, he missed 12 video games late within the common season due to a collapsed lung.
Cunningham returned for the ultimate three video games, however did not play half-hour in any of them, and his scoring common in these video games (11.3) was lower than half his season common (23.9). Detroit is closely favored to win this series, however eyes can be on how sharp Cunningham appears to be like.
2. Boston Celtics vs. 7. Philadelphia 76ers
Game 1: 1 pm ET, Sunday
Series odds: Celtics -900, 76ers +600
Boston has emerged as the favourite to win the Eastern Conference, which is a wild change from coming into the season tagged with (*1*) whereas Jayson Tatum recovered from his Achilles damage suffered in final yr’s playoffs. The Celtics began the yr 5-7, and it appeared Boston can be headed to the lottery, however Jaylen Brown led the Celtics to a powerful regular-season end, which prompted the return of Tatum.
Boston was 41-21 when Tatum made his season debut on March 6. The Celtics are 13-3 in Tatum’s 16 video games. Most of his numbers are down, however Tatum is still averaging 21.8 factors, 10 rebounds and 5.3 assists in 32.6 minutes per recreation. He is probably not the Tatum who was an MVP candidate, however he is still superb, and Brown is taking part in shut to an MVP stage.
Meanwhile, it is unknown when Joel Embiid will return from appendicitis. He had surgical procedure on April 9 and hasn’t come again but. The 76ers superior out of the Play-In Tournament with out him, and Tyrese Maxey is the workforce’s main scorer, however Philadelphia still wants Embiid’s large presence to pull off this upset.
3. New York Knicks vs. 6. Atlanta Hawks
Knicks lead series 1-0
Game 2: 8 pm ET, Monday
Series odds: Knicks -425, Hawks +330
The Knicks held serve comfortably in Game 1 towards the Hawks. Jalen Brunson had 28 factors and Karl-Anthony Towns scored 25 in a 113-102 win.
The odds have this series as one of many tightest within the first spherical, however the Hawks by no means led within the second half and the Knicks led by as many as 19 within the fourth quarter. Atlanta acquired 49 mixed factors from CJ McCollum and Jalen Johnson, however the Knicks had a large edge on the free throw line. The Knicks made greater than twice as many free throws (25 to 12).
New York is favored by 5.5 factors in Game 2.
4. Cleveland Cavaliers vs. 5. Toronto Raptors
Cavaliers lead series 1-0
Game 2: 7 pm ET, Monday
Series odds: Cavaliers -800, Raptors +550
James Harden had 22 factors and 10 assists in his first playoff recreation with Cleveland. Donovan Mitchell still led the Cavs with 32 factors in a 126-113 win in Game 1, however Harden’s presence and efficiency means Mitchell would not have to do all of it for Cleveland.
Cleveland led by as a lot as 24 in Game 1 and is an amazing favourite to advance after efficiently defending residence courtroom in Game 1.
Toronto did not present a lot to give any confidence that the Raptors might hassle Cleveland on this series. The almost definitely series consequence on DraftKings is at present the Cavs to win the series in 5 video games (+215), adopted by a four-game sweep at +270.
Western Conference playoffs
1. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. 8. Phoenix Suns
Game 1: 3:30 pm ET, Sunday
Series odds: Thunder -3000, Suns +1300
The defending champion Thunder as soon as once more had the most effective report within the common season (64-18), and the primary spherical isn’t anticipated to be a stumbling block. The Thunder have swept the primary spherical within the final two playoffs, and it would not be a shock to see the identical occur this yr.
Oklahoma City enters the playoffs as the favourite to win the NBA title, though the rise of the Spurs and Tatum’s return from damage for Boston has made the contending discipline stronger than it appeared months in the past. Still, OKC is even cash to win all of it once more on FanDuel and is shut to even cash on DraftKings (+110) and BetMGM (+120).
2. San Antonio Spurs vs. 7. Portland Trail Blazers
Game 1: 9 pm ET, Sunday
Series odds: Spurs -2000, Trail Blazers +1000
The Spurs are within the playoffs for the primary time since 2019 and have not received a playoff series since 2017. That’s when Pau Gasol, Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard had been still suiting up for the Spurs. There have been some lean years in between, however Victor Wembanyama has ushered in what could possibly be one other memorable period in San Antonio. The Spurs are an enormous favourite on this series and are second within the betting odds to win the NBA title.
Portland can also be ending a playoff drought. The Trail Blazers have not made the postseason in 5 years, and final received a playoff series in 2019, when Damian Lillard went full Dame Time and took Portland to the convention finals.
This one is not anticipated to go lengthy, with the over/below for whole video games at 5.5, and the below is well-favored at -235 on DraftKings.
3. Denver Nuggets vs. 6. Minnesota Timberwolves
Nuggets lead series 1-0
Game 2: 10:30 pm ET, Monday
Series odds: Nuggets -600, Timberwolves +450
Minnesota led Game 1 by 10 factors after 1 / 4, however Denver tied the sport by halftime and used a 14-0 run to draw back within the third quarter. The Nuggets received 116-105 to take the series lead and develop into an much more overwhelming favourite to advance.
Nikola Jokić had a triple-double, after all, and Jamal Murray dropped 30 factors. Murray’s route to 30 factors was unorthodox, going 0-for-8 from 3-point vary however making all 16 of his free throw makes an attempt.
Anthony Edwards additionally had a troublesome capturing evening (7-for-19). If Minnesota is to pull off the upset on this series, it can want extra from the star guard.
4. Los Angeles Lakers vs. 5. Houston Rockets
Lakers lead series 1-0
Game 2: 10:30 pm ET, Tuesday
Series odds: Rockets -225, Lakers +185
No Luka Dončić, no Austin Reaves, no downside for the Lakers in Game 1. Luke Kennard stepped up with 27 factors in a 107-98 win, which buys the Lakers a bit extra time for Luka and Reaves to return from damage.
Granted, Houston was with out Kevin Durant so each groups are hoping to get again to full energy as quickly as potential. Durant took warmups in Game 1 and it’s day-to-day so he might return quickly.
Despite the Lakers selecting up the win within the series opener, Houston is still favored to win the series. That might flip if the Lakers go up 2-0, however Houston is favored to win on the highway and even the series.