Marquette vs. Providence predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for March 4
Its taken the majority of the 2025-26 season, however the Providence Friars (14-15, 7-11) have discovered their groove profitable three in a row and 5 of their final seven video games as they put together for tonight’s tilt towards the Golden Eagles of Marquette (10-19, 5-13).
While Marquette leads the all-time collection 27-15, the Golden Eagles aren’t enjoying properly having misplaced 4 of their final 5. The season could have reached its lowest level so far of their final outing, a 62-51 loss at house to DePaul. Marquette scored 14 factors within the first half. Let that sink in for a second – 14 factors within the first 20 minutes of the sport.
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Providence prolonged their modest streak to 3 wins in a row over the weekend in Omaha the place they knocked off Creighton, 79-76. It was really a “low-scoring” evening for the Friars who common 86.8 factors per sport this season.
These groups met earlier this season in Milwaukee on January 19 and it was a thriller with Marquette profitable in extra time, 105-104. Nigel James Jr. scored 38 to steer the Golden Eagles and Jaylin Sellers poured in 27 for the Friars.
Providence has a file of 1-8 in Q1 video games and is 2-6 in Q2. Marquette is 0-8 in Q1 and 2-8 in Quad 2 video games. The Friars are ranked No. 65 in KenPom and No. 75 within the NET. Marquette is ranked No. 103 in KenPom and 107th within the NET.
Lets take a more in-depth take a look at tonight’s matchup and take into accounts lineups, accidents, and different elements affecting the road and complete.
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We’ve bought all the information and evaluation it’s essential know forward of the sport, together with the most recent information on the way to catch typoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent group efficiency, participant stats, and after all, our predictions, picks best bets for the sport from our modeling instruments and workers of specialists.
Game Details and How to Watch Live: Marquette at Providence
Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Site: Amica Mutual Pavilion
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Game Odds: Marquette at Providence
The newest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:
Moneyline: Marquette Golden Eagles (+195), Providence Friars (-238)
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This sport opened Providence -6.5 with the Total set at 165.5.
Be positive to take a look at DraftKings for all the most recent sport odds & participant props for each matchup this week on the NCAA Basketball schedule!
Expected Starting Lineups: Marquette at Providence
Marquette Golden Eagles
Providence Friars
Injury Report: Marquette at Providence
Marquette Golden Eagles
Sean Jones (foot) has been declared OUT of tonight’s sport
Nash Walker (redshirt) has been declared OUT of tonight’s sport
Ian Miletic (redshirt) has been declared OUT of tonight’s sport
Sheek Pearson (redshirt) has been declared OUT of tonight’s sport
Providence Friars
Stefan Vaaks (sickness) is listed as questionable for tonight’s sport
Corey Floyd Jr. (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for tonight’s sport
Jaylen Harrell (undisclosed) has been declared OUT of tonight’s sport
Rich Barron (concussion) has been declared OUT of tonight’s sport
Daquan Davis (knee) has been declared OUT of tonight’s sport
Important stats, trends and insights: Marquette at Providence
Providence is 3-7 at house this season
Marquette is 1-10 on the highway this season
Marquette is 11-18 ATS general this season / 4-7 ATS on the highway
Providence is 16-13 ATS general this season / 9-6 ATS at house
The OVER has cashed in 20 of Providence’s 29 video games this season (20-9)
The OVER has cashed in 14 of Marquette’s 29 video games this season (14-15)
Marquette has received outright 7 of the final 10 video games towards Providence
Marquette is 4-1 ATS of their final 5 video games towards Providence
Providence leads the convention with 12.1 turnovers and 15.4 allowed off these 12.1 turnovers
Rotoworld Best Bet
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Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports): Game Total UNDER 161.5
“We had an extra time thriller within the first assembly between Marquette and Providence, so I anticipate a doozy of a matchup within the rematch tonight.
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Providence is a 5.5-point favourite at DraftKings with the Game Total set at 161.5. These two mixed for 209 factors within the first assembly and 98 within the first half, so protection was apparently elective.
However, I believe we’ll see extra protection this time round, regardless of these being two of the fastest-paced groups within the Big East. Providence has been with out a number of key gamers throughout their three-game profitable streak, however tonight, they’ll get a few of these guys again, and it is Senior Night which brings loads of pleasure!
Last evening’s Senior Night at Madison Square Garden noticed St. John’s and Georgetown put up simply 60 factors within the first half.
Even although Providence ranks 14th within the nation scoring virtually 87 factors per sport, I believe that is too many factors. I’m enjoying the Game Total UNDER 161.5 factors as my best guess.”
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday’s game between Marquette and Providence:
Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning believe it or not towards a play on Marquette +5.5
Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total UNDER 161.5
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
