Connelly’s CFP tiers – How contenders stack up after Week 9
The first two months of the school soccer season had been messy and more and more chaotic. Week 9 was no exception, although a variety of its surprises had been both (A) video games that had been projected to be shut however had been blowouts as an alternative or (B) shut requires prime groups.
No. 1 Miami (tight win over North Carolina), No. 4 Indiana (time beyond regulation win over Minnesota) and No. 8 BYU (tight win over Arizona State) all match the latter class. Other than USC knocking off a wounded Ohio State, the underdogs could not fairly get it completed in opposition to the highest groups this time round.
But neglect all that — it is November now. Virtually every part we finally keep in mind in regards to the 2026 season will occur from this level ahead. And with the primary College Football Playoff rankings of the season popping out Tuesday, let’s spin this ahead a bit with assist from some playoff tiers.
Playoff tiers
Using a mix of the Allstate Playoff Predictor and odds pushed by my SP+ rankings, we will fairly simply bunch groups into teams of playoff probability. (I like creating a median of the 2 sources as a result of it smooths out among the tough edges in each fashions.)
Tier 1
Miami (8-0, 98.3% common playoff odds)
It solely briefly felt like Miami was in true hazard in opposition to North Carolina on Saturday night time: The Tar Heels took the lead early within the fourth quarter earlier than Miami responded with a 9-play TD drive, recovered a fumble and scored once more. The response to adversity was robust, simply because it was a few weeks in the past in opposition to Florida State.
The Hurricanes have underachieved defensively for 3 straight weeks, nonetheless, permitting 31 factors per recreation and forcing their wonderful offense to be wonderful always. Defense is why they’re projected underdogs at Notre Dame this coming weekend, however whereas it is likely to be a deadly flaw so far as profitable the nationwide title goes, it hasn’t prevented them from all however locking up a CFP spot. They must lose to Notre Dame after which probably lose two of their final three after that to overlook out. All three of these video games are at house, and the Canes are at present projected favorites of a minimum of 17 factors in every. They’re seemingly nonetheless in with a ten-2 report, and SP+ provides them solely a 1% probability of ending the common season 9-3 or worse.
Tier 2
Indiana (8-1, 89.2%)
Notre Dame (7-1, 86.4%)
Utah (8-0, 85.6%)
Georgia (7-1, 84.7%)
Based on these odds, about 3.5 of those 4 groups will make the CFP. They’re all in fairly good condition however nonetheless have to complete the job.
For Indiana, which means determining a sudden QB disaster. Josh Hoover has accomplished simply 16 of 37 passes in his previous two video games whereas battling arm points, and he hasn’t accomplished greater than 55% of his passes in a recreation since Oct. 3. He evidently picked up one other knock within the first half of the Hoosiers’ time beyond regulation win over Minnesota, and backup Grant Wilson needed to are available to avoid wasting the day. He wasn’t wonderful (9-for-17 for 156 yards and a landing), however he was a large enchancment over Hoover.
Curt Cignetti and offensive coordinator Mike Shanahan now have a a lot-wanted bye week to both get Hoover wholesome and again on observe or formally change to Wilson. They barely escaped Week 9 with an 8-1 report, and whereas they’re projected double-digit favorites in every of their three remaining video games, they had been practically three-landing favorites in opposition to Minnesota, too.
For Notre Dame, which means higher begins. In the Fighting Irish’s loss at BYU, they trailed 21-10 at halftime; on Saturday in opposition to Navy, they obtained sliced up by the Midshipmen’s offense within the first half and trailed 13-7 after 29 minutes earlier than lastly discovering the accelerator. A gradual begin in opposition to Miami might be devastating with the way in which the Hurricanes can pile on factors, and it might go away them weak to upsets in opposition to SMU and Syracuse. They ought to nonetheless get into the CFP at 10-2 however nearly actually not at 9-3.
For Utah, which means going 1-1 over the subsequent two video games. Granted, the Utes would possibly nonetheless get in at 10-2, but when they’ll beat both BYU at house or Arizona in Tucson, they’re going to have each a high quality win and an excellent shot at ending the common season 11-1. The Utes had been unreal within the first half in opposition to Cincinnati on Saturday, scoring touchdowns on all 4 offensive drives and scoring a pair of defensive touchdowns as nicely (a Rabbit Evans fumble return and an Elijah Davis choose-six). Against the crew that had simply crushed Texas Tech, they led 42-6 at halftime. (The Utes fell asleep a bit within the second half, however that is forgivable.) Anytime they’re that aggressive and efficient, they’re going to win.
For Georgia, which means protecting the turnovers in verify. After two extra in opposition to Florida, the Bulldogs have fumbled eight instances of their previous three video games and 15 instances for the season, and whereas it is mainly their solely weak spot, it contributed to their loss to Auburn and will clearly chunk them once more in upcoming video games at Ole Miss and South Carolina and at house in opposition to Missouri. If the Dawgs go 2-1 in that stretch, their playoff spot is sort of set. So cease dropping the rattling ball.
Tier 3
UCLA (8-0, 71.2%)
Ohio State (6-2, 68.6%)
Wake Forest (7-1, 65.4%)
On common, about 2.1 of those three groups make it. That means, in fact, that about one will not. And as unusual as this sounds, the blue blood might be essentially the most weak. In Ohio State’s first recreation after dropping quarterback Julian Sayin to harm, the Buckeyes ran the ball fairly nicely in opposition to USC and obtained an honest efficiency from freshman Luke Fahey. But they saved settling for subject objectives, and their protection allowed 6.8 yards per play and three touchdowns to a Trojans offense that obtained humbled by Wisconsin final week.
USC was the primary of 5 straight SP+ prime-30 opponents the Buckeyes will face to finish the common season, seemingly all with out Sayin, and when the protection wanted to step up a bit to assist out the offense, it could not do it. That’s fairly foreboding.
The different two groups on this tier continued to look the half Saturday. UCLA dealt with Nevada with ease, pitching a 27-0 shutout and transferring up to fourth nationally in fewest factors allowed per drive. (Yes, the Bruins had been taking part in Nevada, however hey, at 93rd in SP+, the Wolf Pack aren’t that far behind three of UCLA’s latest Big Ten opponents — Purdue, Maryland and Michigan State.) They’re projected favorites in every of 4 remaining common-season video games, and whereas video games in opposition to Michigan and USC are relative toss-ups, the Bruins additionally nonetheless have a mulligan. SP+ says their almost definitely common-season report is 11-1, which might clearly get them in.
Wake Forest, in the meantime, has merely appeared like probably the greatest groups within the nation in latest weeks. The Demon Deacons have crushed SP+ projections for seven straight weeks and have crushed their previous 4 opponents by a median of 47-8. Each of these 4 opponents is at present among the many backside seven within the ACC, however … 47-8! Gio Lopez and the Deacs’ offense are up to second nationally in factors per drive, combining excessive effectivity with solely three turnovers.
They nonetheless must face SMU (away) and Duke (house) and subsequently have solely a 32% probability of ending the common season 11-1. But they might nonetheless have an opportunity of getting in at 10-2, and so they might additionally get in by profitable the ACC regardless of their report.
Tier 4
Texas Tech (7-1, 57.1%)
BYU (7-1, 51.4%)
Alabama (6-2, 46.6%)
Texas (6-2, 45.5%)
LSU (6-2, 44.5%)
Ole Miss (6-2, 42.6%)
Kentucky (7-1, 35.5%)
Now issues get actually fascinating. This seven-crew tier will seemingly produce about three bids primarily based on the groups’ common odds — all these groups are nearly assured bids in the event that they win out, however most will not. In reality, per SP+, none has a better than 31% probability of doing so.
Kentucky seemingly has an additional mulligan due to its 7-1 report and robust schedule energy, however SP+ has not been in love with the Wildcats — they’re 88th in factors allowed per drive, they’re 3-0 in a single-rating finishes, and their one loss was by 28 factors to Alabama — and offers them solely a 20% probability of attending to even 10-2.
Of all of the groups right here, I like BYU’s possibilities one of the best: The Cougars have a significant trump card with their win over Notre Dame, and that ought to give them one other mulligan. SP+ provides them a 62% probability of ending 10-2 or higher, and I feel their odds are subsequently higher than what we see above.
Thanks to the presence of 4 two-loss SEC groups, this tier is likely to be essentially the most fascinating on the subject of Tuesday night time’s rankings, however we’ll get into {that a} bit additional beneath.
Tier 5
Houston (6-2, 23.1%)
Tennessee (6-2, 19.7%)
USC (7-2, 15.1%)
Iowa (6-2, 14.0%)
Arizona (6-2, 13.1%)
Missouri (6-2, 8.2%)
Northwestern (6-2, 6.4%)
Florida (5-3, 6.0%)
SMU (6-2, 5.8%)
Oregon (5-3, 4.3%)
This pool of groups will seemingly produce a single playoff bid. It’s a combination that features ACC and Big 12 groups that just about actually must win out to have an opportunity (amongst them, Houston has one of the best probability of doing that, at 32% per SP+). Also in that blend are both Big Ten or SEC groups that seemingly would get in by profitable out however are unlikely to take action (Tennessee, USC, Iowa, Missouri, Northwestern) or three-loss Big Ten/SEC groups which have a sliver of an opportunity for a bid at 9-3.
Week 10 is big for this tier: Iowa visits Northwestern in a Tier 5 eliminator, and Tennessee (vs. Kentucky), Missouri (vs. Texas), SMU (vs. Virginia Tech), Florida (vs. Oklahoma) and Oregon (at Ohio State) all face stiff assessments. This tier will seemingly be rather a lot smaller per week from now as groups both fall out or transfer up.
Tier (Group of) 6
Boise State (7-1, 52.7%)
New Mexico (7-1, 20.1%)
Liberty (7-1, 13.5%)
UTSA (7-1, 11.2%)
Week 9 nearly introduced us a large shake-up within the race for the G6’s assured playoff bid. James Madison fell asleep in opposition to Troy after going up 14-0 and suffered 5 turnovers and a surprising time beyond regulation loss. That nearly eradicated the Dukes from competition.
Then each New Mexico and Boise State needed to put in full, 60-minute shifts. Up 21-9 early within the fourth quarter, New Mexico was driving for the clinching rating when San José State’s Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa picked off a move and took it 89 yards for a rating. The shocked Lobos needed to make two late defensive stops to forestall a devastating upset.
Then there was Boise State’s 46-45 win over Texas State on Saturday night time. I’d by no means seen a recreation with runs of 28-3, 36-0 and 18-6 earlier than, however this recreation produced precisely that, and BSU narrowly survived as a result of it was answerable for the primary and final of these runs. If you had been, like me, in mattress for the second half — hey, I’ve to get up early on Sundays — you owe it to your self to look at the prolonged spotlight package deal. It was completely bonkers.
Because each favorites survived, BSU and New Mexico nonetheless lead this listing — New Mexico is ranked within the AP ballot for the primary time, which is tremendous cool — and each are projected favorites in every remaining common-season recreation (although Boise is at present solely an 8.5-level favourite over Week 11 opponent Oregon State). But Saturday was a reminder that upsets occur; each the Broncos and Lobos have solely a 55% probability of attending to 11-1, and in the event that they do slip, UTSA might have an opportunity to swoop in. So would possibly a Liberty crew that has been completely rampant of late. November might nonetheless give us a few plot twists.
Thoughts in regards to the CFP rankings
Now that rankings time is formally upon us, I assumed I’d share a pc common that I fiddled with fairly a bit final season. It’s mainly 80% résumé metrics (energy of report and résumé SP+) and 20% high quality (SP+ and FPI), and I discover it a very good start line for CFP discussions.
That’s doubly true this season, since caterwauling from the SEC — particularly, SEC coaches sad in regards to the league transferring to 9-recreation convention schedules — resulted in a supposed dedication to further scrutiny for energy of schedule. We will not know what which means till we see the primary rankings, however whereas this 80/20 laptop common steered neither Alabama nor Oklahoma ought to have made final 12 months’s CFP, it locations some two-loss SEC groups larger than groups from different conferences with higher information this time round.
Current 80/20 system prime 25
1. Miami (8-0)
2. Georgia (7-1)
3. Utah (8-0)
4. Indiana (8-1)
5. Notre Dame (7-1)
6. Alabama (6-2)
7. Ohio State (6-2)
8. UCLA (8-0)
9. Texas (6-2)
10. LSU (6-2)
11. Wake Forest (7-1)
12. Ole Miss (6-2)
13. BYU (7-1)
14. Texas Tech (7-1)
15. Kentucky (7-1)
16. Tennessee (6-2)
17. Boise State (7-1)
18. USC (7-2)
19. Houston (6-2)
20. Iowa (6-2)
21. Northwestern (6-2)
22. Missouri (6-2)
23. Arizona (6-2)
24. Florida (5-3)
25. Oregon (5-3)
(For these within the G6 race, New Mexico ranks twenty sixth right here, whereas Liberty is twenty ninth and UTSA is thirty first.)
This listing makes a stable quantity of sense to me, nevertheless it would not shock me if the CFP rankings look awfully totally different. For one factor, Kentucky will nearly assuredly rank rather a lot larger due to its superior report and its win over LSU. (Again, neither the FPI nor SP+ loves the Wildcats, and it reveals right here.) And Ole Miss will in all probability be forward of the Tigers due to the pinnacle-to-head win.
If the energy-of-schedule lobbying was efficient, I might see every of the SEC’s six 6-2 groups rating a minimum of one spot larger. If I had been personally rating them, nonetheless, I’d have all of them a few spots decrease as a result of I feel punishing groups with higher information for the truth that they weren’t invited into the SEC is fairly ridiculous. The SEC is not entitled to playoff spots just because its groups elected to make more cash by including a ninth convention recreation. But these laptop averages positively give us a reminder that their schedule energy is fairly stout.
We’ll see what the committee says Tuesday.
Other Week 9 ideas
What on earth, Cig? I can’t stress what number of various things Indiana coach Curt Cignetti did fallacious on the finish of the Hoosiers’ win over Minnesota, and I’m not even counting the truth that he might (or in all probability ought to) have yanked Josh Hoover before he did. Down 13-10 with 3:05 left, he did what Ryan Day did in final 12 months’s Big Ten championship recreation, electing to kick a recreation-tying subject purpose on fourth-and-1 as an alternative of going for the lead. The transfer did not backfire prefer it did on Day — Nico Radicic made the 34-yard kick regardless of points earlier within the recreation — nevertheless it was ultraconservative and lowered the Hoosiers’ odds of profitable.
Then, when Minnesota was inside vary of a 60-yard Luke Drzewiecki subject purpose, Cignetti allowed 40 seconds to run off the clock as an alternative of calling a timeout; so when Drzewiecki made the lengthy-vary bomb, the Hoosiers obtained the ball again with 19 seconds left as an alternative of near a minute.
And then, after a 33-yard move to Charlie Becker, Cignetti nonetheless did not name timeout, assuring that the Hoosiers might snap the ball simply as soon as extra earlier than making an attempt a subject purpose. When that move fell incomplete, lengthy-kick specialist Paddy McAteer needed to try a 60-yarder of his personal. That he made it — and that Indiana someway prevailed regardless of every part — was unbelievable, nevertheless it did not make both of those baffling choices appropriate.
(I noticed some people on social media say this run of selections — and the shortage of penalties — was extraordinarily Les Miles-esque. That gave me a reason to relive 2010 LSU-Tennessee, so now you get to as nicely.)
Seriously, although, two 60-yarders? Both kicks had been nearly good, too. My goodness.
WHAT A SWING OF EMOTIONS!! https://t.co/MQE6MGyphr
— CBS Sports College Football (@CBSSportsCFB) October 31, 2026
A devastating journey to central New York. In phrases of stakes, the three most devastating losses of the weekend had been in all probability Ohio State falling to USC, James Madison blowing it in opposition to Troy and SMU getting upset at Syracuse.
The Orange have been a feistier crew of late, practically upsetting Louisville earlier than taking North Carolina down in Chapel Hill. That they obtained off to a scorching begin and led 20-10 at halftime wasn’t the largest shock on this planet. But SMU seized management within the second half, happening a 17-0 run to take the lead.
Even when Syracuse obtained transferring once more after falling behind, the Mustangs’ protection held the house crew to a subject purpose, and quarterback Kevin Jennings, glorious for many of the second half, threw a beautiful third-down lengthy ball to tight finish Theo Melin Ohrstrom, who appeared for a second like he reeled it in. He could not maintain on, nonetheless, and after SMU punted, Syracuse drove 68 yards and scored the sport-profitable TD with 17 seconds left.
With the loss, SMU noticed its CFP odds and its ACC title odds take large hits. The Mustangs should win out in ACC play (which incorporates an enormous recreation in opposition to Wake Forest in Week 11, plus a go to from 6-2 Virginia Tech this coming Friday) to nonetheless have an opportunity within the league race, and so they’ll must win at Notre Dame in Week 12 to have any hope of getting within the playoff as an at-massive crew. All margin for error is gone.
Biggest blocked kick of the weekend. Using my SP+ odds, Texas Tech’s win over Arizona elevated Tech’s CFP odds by about 16 share factors and decreased Arizona’s by 20. It was assured to be one of the vital impactful video games of the day, and it turned on a blocked PAT.
Kedrick Reescano‘s 1-yard plunge with 5:34 left within the third quarter was Arizona’s third landing in three drives; the Wildcats had been flying, and so they had outscored the Red Raiders 20-10 over the earlier 20 minutes. But Ansel Nedore blocked the PAT, and whereas we frequently overstate the influence (or existence) of momentum, there isn’t any query momentum turned to Tech. Here had been the subsequent 9 drives:
• Tech: landing
• Arizona: three-and-out
• Tech: subject purpose
• Arizona: turnover on downs
• Tech: fumble
• Arizona: three-and-out
• Tech: punt
• Arizona: three-and-out
• Tech: landing
In this span, 12 dropbacks for Arizona’s Noah Fifita netted simply 34 yards (together with two sacks) with a devastating stretch of 4 straight incompletions, together with a large-open move on fourth down. Tech went on a 17-0 run and noticed out a season-saving 34-26 win.
Tech quarterback Thomas Castellanos, now eligible again, averaged simply 5.3 yards per dropback and accomplished simply 11 of 24 passes whereas beginning over mistake-inclined Will Hammond, however he lit a spark within the Tech run recreation (18 non-sack carries for 124 yards) and, with the sport on the road, he outplayed Fifita.
I type of anticipated to listen to Mike Norvell was fired by the point I used to be completed with this column. It did not occur till I used to be placing the ultimate touches on it, however it did happen. Florida State’s 36-24 house loss to Clemson was the dying knell. And it was certain an odd method to exit. On a purely statistical foundation, FSU was the superior crew, producing a better share of performs gaining double-digit yards (25.8% to 14.5%), gaining 64 extra yards regardless of 14 fewer snaps and producing a better success price (43.5% to 34.2%). (Success price signifies how ceaselessly an offense is gaining 50% of needed yardage on first down, 70% on second, and 100% on third and fourth.)
Ashton Daniels threw for 350 yards and a pair of touchdowns, however he additionally threw three interceptions and misplaced a fumble, and FSU suffered a minus-4 turnover margin. When the Noles lower a 19-level deficit to 5 within the fourth quarter, they had been one cease away from perhaps profitable the sport regardless of all the problems. Instead, they gave up a 79-yard landing run to Tait Reynolds on third-and-12.
0:29
Tait Reynolds powers previous protection for 79-yard speeding landing
Moments of absolute class and explosiveness, completed in by horrible errors and hapless moments. That describes this loss and, in the long run, the Norvell period.
Condolences prematurely to USC. Three weeks in the past, Oklahoma upset No. 1 Texas; the Sooners then proceeded to misplace their offense but once more in a 21-13 loss to Kentucky. Two weeks in the past, Auburn scored a wild upset over Georgia 27-24 between the hedges; it has since misplaced to LSU and Ole Miss by a mixed 83-32. Last week, UCF rode Keyone Jenkins and a very bouncy Bounce House to a 39-31 upset of BYU; on Saturday again at house, it obtained destroyed 41-9 by a Baylor crew that had simply fired its head coach.
With the win over Ohio State, USC made it 4 straight weeks with an unranked crew upsetting a prime-two opponent. It’s unbelievable, and it is extraordinarily 2007-esque — that is the one different season wherein it occurred greater than twice in a row. (Granted, it occurred 9 instances in a row that 12 months; 2007 stays unmatched. So far.) But whereas this pattern might imply doom for considered one of this week’s prime two groups — Miami and Georgia — it appears to nearly assure doom for the Trojans. Maybe they obtained their face-plant out of the way in which prematurely with final week’s terrible efficiency in opposition to Wisconsin, and perhaps they’re going to be saved from blushes by being on their bye this week. But this doesn’t make me be ok with their odds of performing nicely at Indiana in two weeks.
This week in SP+
The SP+ rankings have been up to date for the week. Let’s check out the groups that noticed the largest change of their general rankings. (Note: We’re rankings, not rankings.)
Moving up
Here are the 5 groups that noticed their rankings rise essentially the most this week:
Liberty: up 4.1 adjusted factors per recreation (rating rose from forty fifth to twenty eighth)
Sacramento State: up 3.6 factors (from 138th to one hundred and thirty fifth)
Wake Forest: up 3.3 factors (from twenty fifth to sixteenth)
Jacksonville State: up 3.0 factors (from eighty fifth to 68th)
Kennesaw State: up 2.9 factors (from one hundred and twentieth to a hundred and tenth)
Liberty started the season with a loss to James Madison and a close to loss to Gardner-Webb — and fell to 102nd in SP+ due to it. But the shut name evidently woke the Flames up: Since that recreation, they’ve outscored six opponents by a median rating of 39-11 and overachieved in opposition to SP+ projections by 13.5 factors per recreation. All of their vanquished opponents rank one hundred and first or worse in SP+, and the Flames by no means win a energy-of-schedule competitors. But they’re treating unhealthy groups like a prime-30 crew would, and so they’ve risen 74 spots in SP+ up to now seven weeks.
Moving down
Here are the 5 groups whose rankings fell essentially the most:
Virginia: down 4.3 adjusted factors per recreation (rating fell from 53rd to 63rd)
Auburn: down 3.6 factors (from 51st to 58th)
Boston College: down 3.4 factors (from 78th to 94th)
Oklahoma: down 3.3 factors (from thirty third to forty sixth)
UCF: down 3.3 factors (from 56th to sixty fifth)
Remember when Virginia started the season by destroying NC State? Neither do I.
My 20 favourite video games of the weekend
1. No. 20 Boise State 46, Texas State 45. Boise State led by a lot at halftime that I did not even present a backup possibility once I submitted my playoff picks and went to mattress. And then the Broncos gave up 36 factors in 16 minutes — and gained anyway. Wild.
2. No. 4 Indiana 23, Minnesota 16 (OT). Curt Cignetti’s late choice-making was irritating, however again-to-again 60-yard subject objectives on the finish of regulation? Wow.
3. Syracuse 30, No. 19 SMU 27. Poor Theo Melin Ohrstrom in all probability did not sleep final night time after dropping a move that will have nearly locked up the sport for SMU.
4. Division II: Shepherd 35, Shippensburg 32. After watching a 14-level lead flip right into a 4-level deficit, Shepherd obtained one final probability to avoid wasting itself, and with 24 seconds left, Michael Hardyway went deep to Carrington Nickens-Yzer for an 80-yard, go-forward rating. Shippensburg rapidly moved into subject purpose vary however could not hit a 52-yarder on the buzzer.
5. Division III: Azusa Pacific 23, La Verne 20. There’s all the time room on this listing for a Hail Mary.
It’s a Hail Mary end behind the paywall for Azusa Pacific! 39-yard TD catch by Robert Taylor in the long run zone as time expires, lifting the Cougars to a 23-20 win vs. La Verne! Four lead adjustments within the closing 5 minutes. Here’s the way it ended up @flosports. #d3fb https://t.co/tHn8pNw8rx
— D3football.com (@d3football) November 1, 2026
6. Division III: Johns Hopkins 31, Muhlenberg 28. Had you ever seen a recreation-profitable honest catch kick earlier than? Did you understand honest catch kicks had been a factor in faculty? (It’s a latest rule change.)
7. FCS: Sacred Heart 32, Stony Brook 31. Down 18 with six minutes left, Sacred Heart drove 94 yards for a TD, drove 93 yards for one more TD and drove 94 yards once more within the closing minute, scoring the profitable factors on a 6-yard move from Poochie Snyder to Jason Palmieri. Wow.
8. Iowa State 51, No. 24 Oklahoma State 49. A 24-7 run flipped this recreation in ISU’s favor, however OSU charged again from 10 all the way down to take the lead on a Wyatt Young TD with 53 seconds left. No worries: Kyle Konrardy hit a 34-yard subject purpose on the buzzer. There had been some critical observe meets this weekend, however this was arduous to beat.
9. FCS: No. 4 Youngstown State 31, No. 11 North Dakota 28. What does the win likelihood chart seem like when a crew trails by 14 within the second half however rallies and scores the profitable landing on fourth-and-19? This:
I find it irresistible when a recreation from my smaller-school showcase seems to be a thriller.
10. Division II: No. 24 East Stroudsburg 32, No. 3 Kutztown 25 (OT). In one of many week’s greatest Division II video games, East Stroudsburg used an early 16-0 run to steer many of the manner, however Kutztown scored twice within the closing seven minutes and compelled time beyond regulation with a late TD. Had the Golden Bears saved their unbeaten report? Nope. East Stroudsburg scored first, compelled a turnover on downs and pulled off the upset.
12. NAIA: No. 8 Grand View 36, William Penn 34.
13. FCS: No. 23 Idaho State 34, Utah Tech 27.
14. Division III: Bridgewater 51, Roanoke 48.
15. Division III: Dickinson 54, Carnegie Mellon 51 (OT).
16. FCS: Princeton 21, Cornell 20.
17. North Texas 48, Florida Atlantic 41.
18. FCS: No. 1 Tarleton State 28, Eastern Kentucky 24.
19. No. 1 Miami 38, North Carolina 35.
20. Elizabeth City State 5, Winston-Salem 0.
What was I imagined to do, not embrace a 5-0 recreation?