Jason Bateman hops up in Emmy odds for Black Rabbit and DTF St. Louis
Jason Bateman is on the rise in not only one, however two Emmy classes.
For this week’s Gold Derby prediction datathe actor is up 4% in lead for Netflix’s noir thriller Black Rabbitand up 11% in supporting HBO’s darkish comedy DTF St. Louis. He can be Emmy-eligible as a director for Black Rabbit and as a producer for each restricted sequence, so he might obtain a mixed 5 nominations for these two initiatives alone.
Bateman received his first Emmy Award in 2019 for directing an episode of ozarksand he has 13 extra nominations to his identify, together with for his appearing roles in Arrested Development, ozarksand The Outsider.
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For Black RabbitBateman is simply outdoors the projected Best Movie/Limited Actor lineup with a 70% likelihood of receiving a nomination. He performs Vince Friedken, the older brother of Jake (Jude Law) and the co-founder of the titular New York City hotspot.
Also competing in this race are class front-runners Oscar Isaac (Beef) at 97%, Matthew Rhys (The Beast in Me) at 96%, Richard Gadd (Half Man) at 91%, Paul Anthony Kelly (love story) at 84%, and Charlie Hunnam (Monster: The Ed Gein Story) at 81%.
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For DTF St. Louisthe place Bateman is competing in Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor, he’s in seventh place with a 58% shot at a bid. His character, weatherman Clark Forrest, turns into concerned in a lethal love triangle with Carol (Linda Cardellini) and Floyd (David Harbour).
The six featured gamers forward of Bateman are Charles Melton (Beef) at 97%, Jamie Bell (Half Man) at 94%, Alessandro Nivola (love story) at 88%, Jonathan Banks (The Beast in Me) at 87%, Troy Kotsur (Black Rabbit) at 77%, and Jake Lacy (All Her Fault) at 61%.

Actors with double Emmy nominations incessantly win a minimum of one among them, due in half as a result of voters get to see their full vary on show in vastly totally different performances. That’s nice information for Bateman this 12 months. Examples from the previous decade embrace Ann Dowd in 2017 (received for The Handmaid’s Talemisplaced for The Leftovers); Riz Ahmed in 2017 (received for The Night Ofmisplaced for Girls); Julia Garner in 2022 (received for ozarksmisplaced for Inventing Anna); and Julianne Nicholson in 2025 (received for Hacksmisplaced for Paradise).
On the opposite facet of the argument, there are additionally situations the place performers with a number of bids lose all of them, together with Laurie Metcalf in 2016 (Getting On, The Big Bang Theoryand Horace and Pete); Pedro Pascal in 2023 (The Last of Us, Saturday Night Liveand Patagonia); and the late Catherine O’Hara simply final 12 months (The Studio and The Last of Us).
The 2026 Emmys nominations will likely be introduced July 8.

